The Peanut Gallery: Putin Attempts Zapp Brannigan Maneuver - Ukraine Stands Resolute Before Ceaseless Mechanized Assaults
April 3, 2024
Welcome to the Peanut Gallery! Today we’re going to discuss the value of a human life.
Please remember that I know nothing.
Russian forces appear to have increased the number and size of mechanized ground assaults on select sectors of the frontline within the past two weeks, marking a notable overall increase in Russian mechanized assaults across the theater.
Geolocated footage published on April 3 shows Ukrainian forces repelling a roughly reinforced platoon-sized mechanized Russian assault near Terny.[4] The April 3 footage is likely recent and is distinct from the March 20 footage of Russian assaults near Terny. Russian forces may be intensifying mechanized assaults before muddy terrain becomes more pronounced in the spring and makes mechanized maneuver warfare more difficult. Russian forces may also be intensifying mechanized assaults to take advantage of Ukrainian materiel shortages before the arrival of expected Western security assistance.
Call it Bezdorizhzhia, Mud Season, or Time of No Roads, it makes no difference: spring is spring, and in Ukraine spring means armor is useless. Think of Bezdorizhzhia as the biannual ‘Time Out!’ for combat operations.
Or at least that's how it's been historically. Lately, though, Putin's settled into a ‘constant offensive’ sort of mindset, which boils down to a series of flailing armored assaults. Mostly they don't go anywhere. Yet. But if the US House continues to stall passage of the Ukraine funding package, then the threat of a serious breakthrough will only intensify(US House of Representatives returns to work April 9th).
Putin hopes to exploit Mike Johnson's pointless intransigence with a flurry of assaults on all fronts. His goal? Exhaust Ukraine's ammunition. It's an expensive strategy, but the logic is sound...provided Ukraine has less artillery shells than Putin has tanks.
Sounds to me like stupid gamble, though. What kind of idiot views a soldier’s life as worth less than the enemy’s ammunition? That’s essentially the exchange this behavior is attempting to reproduce. Ukraine shoots a shell, a Russian somewhere dies, and now Ukraine is down one shell. Somehow that’s a win for the Kremlin?
But maybe I’m wrong. Maybe it is a win for Putin and I’m just too stupid to figure out why.
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that the March 22 Crocus City Hall attack has caused a significant increase in Russian contract service applicants amid reported Russian efforts to increase force generation this spring.[..]
The fear and instability that the Islamic State’s (IS) attack created in Russian society may have spurred some Russian citizens to sign up for military service. The Russian MoD may alternatively be running a simultaneous information operation designed to portray Russians as increasingly signing military contracts for revenge to further convince others to sign contracts and justify its long-term war effort in Ukraine.
Out here on the wider internet, we know ISIS was responsible for the Crocus City Hall Massacre. We know this because ISIS told us they did it...with great gusto. They even released bodycam footage to prove it.
Putin, however, hopes to use the Crocus City Hall attack as part of his war effort, but he can only do that if the average Russian feels like they are surrounded by enemies.
Fortunately for him (and unfortunately) for the rest of us, Putin has his own internet. It’s called RusNet and it’s essentially another arm of the Russian State. Think of it like the CCP’s Great Firewall. The Kremlin decides what gets seen, what doesn’t, and what words Russians can-or-cannot say.
Propaganda wouldn’t exist if it didn’t do something. Through brute-force repetition, Putin intends to hammer the ISIS-Ukraine lie into his people's collective consciousness.
The Ukrainian officers stated that other Western-provided weapon deliveries have not been so timely, however. The officers reportedly stated that Russian forces are likely already optimizing Russia’s air defense network to counter the arrival of F-16 fighter aircraft, which are scheduled to arrive in Ukraine in the summer of 2024. Russian forces have shown the capacity to adapt to fighting in Ukraine both through mass as well as through steady, though uneven, operational, tactical, and technological.
Man, this high-ranking Ukrainian officer is a friggin’ buzzkill.
By feeding Ukraine weapons in drips and drabs, we are dragging this war out. Ukraine cannot plan for a major offensive if she doesn’t know what she’ll have when the day arrives. We—the Free Peoples of Earth—need to promise long-term support for Ukraine. Only then, only once Ukraine feels secure in what she has and what she will have, can she take this war to Moscow.
Up until now we haven’t fulfilled our obligation. F-16s are nice, but Ukraine needs enough to make a difference; ATACMs are great, but Ukraine needs enough to make a difference; Abrams are wonderful, but Ukraine needs enough to make a difference.
Get what I’m laying down?
The Kremlin is treating this war as existential because it is existential. They've committed at scale, so we need to do the same.
Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stressed that materiel shortages from delays in Western security assistance are constraining Ukrainian forces and forcing Ukraine to conduct a strategic defense.
Please give Ukraine what they need to bring this war to an end.
‘Q’ for the Community: /r/TheNuttySpectacle!
What are your thoughts on Putin’s attempt to manipulate perception of the Crocus City Hall Massacre? Do you think he’ll be successful?
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